The Nfl This Week

December 24, 2010

Rex Ryan Says Sanchez Start May Be Game-Time Decision

Jets coach Rex Ryan says Mark Sanchez may not play Sunday due to a sore shoulder.  Earlier in the week, Sanchez was said to have a 98% chance of playing, but after Thursday’s practice, Ryan reduced his chance to just 80%. He said it may even come down to a game-time decision.

“I think I underestimated where he was with that injury,” Ryan said. “This one could be more of a game-time type decision than I thought it would be.”

During Thursday morning’s practice, Ryan and the Jets coaching staff noticed that Sanchez didn’t look comfortable. Although he did make some passes, none had any power behind them.

It is believed that Sanchez is suffering from a cartilage tear in his shoulder; Ryan describes it as a “sore shoulder”.

Regardless of the description, the Jets will be forced to give their QB backups, Mark Brunell and Kellen Clemens, more reps in practice and draw up some game-plan options. If Sanchez cannot start, long time veteran Mark Brunell is expected to get the start.

“Everyone knows the situation, we’re close to potentially getting in the playoffs,” Brunell said. “You think about that game, and in that game you think about one play at a time.”

What would be the ramifications of Sanchez not starting? Well, for one, Mark Brunell is left-handed. This fact alone could significantly affect the Jets passing game. Secondly, when the Jets did throw, you would expect the throw to the other side. Thirdly, you would expect the Jets to focus more on the running game. Lastly, the Jets would lose mobility at the quarterback position.

No one really knows if Sanchez will play in the NFL this week, but it’s obvious Ryan and the Jets are being cautious with their starting QB. Don’t be surprised in the Jets sit Sanchez.

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November 26, 2010

Week 12 NFL Sunday Schedule, Odds, Trends ATS For Sunday, Nov 28

Here is the NFL Week 12 Schedule for Sunday, November 28. Handicapping tips for each of he NFL matchups include the favorite, under/over and record against the spread (ATS).

1:00 PM GAMES

JAGUARS (6-4) At GIANTS (6-4)
Favorite: Giants (-9) Over/Under: 44.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Jaguars are 6-4 ATS
Jaguars are 2-2 ATS away
Jaguars are 3-4 ATS as the underdog
Jaguars are 2-2 ATS as an away underdog
Giants are 5-5 ATS
Giants are 2-3 ATS at home
Giants are 3-3 ATS as the favorite
Giants are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite

VIKINGS (3-7) At REDSKINS (5-5)
Favorite: Redskins (-2) Over/Under: 43
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Vikings are 2-8 ATS
Vikings are 0-5 ATS away
Vikings are 0-6 ATS as the underdog
Vikings are 0-5 ATS as an away underdog
Redskins are 5-3 ATS
Redskins are 2-1 ATS at home
Redskins are 0-1 ATS as the favorite
Redskins have not been a home favorite

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-3) At BUFFALO BILLS (2-8)
Favorite: Steelers (-6.5) Over/Under: 43
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Steelers are 6-4 ATS
Steelers are 4-3 ATS away
Steelers are 4-3 ATS as the favorite
Steelers are 2-1 ATS as an away favorite
Bills are 5-4 ATS
Bills are 1-3 ATS at home
Bills are 4-3 ATS as the underdog
Bills are 0-2 as a home underdog

TENNESSEE TITANS (5-5) At HOUSTON TEXANS (4-6)
Favorite: Texans (-6.5) Over/Under: 46
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Titans are 5-5 ATS
Titans are 3-2 ATS away
Titans are 2-2 ATS as the underdog
Titans are 2-2 ATS as an away underdog
Texans are 3-6 ATS
Texans are 1-4 ATS at home
Texans are 1-3 ATS as the favorite
Texans are 0-3 as a home favorite

CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-9) At CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-7)
Favorite: Browns (-10.5) Over/Under: 37.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Panthers are 2-8 ATS
Panthers are 1-3 ATS away
Panthers are 2-6 ATS as the underdog
Panthers are 1-3 ATS as an away underdog
Browns are 4-5 ATS
Browns are 2-3 ATS at home
Browns are 0-3 ATS as the favorite
Browns are 0-1 as a home favorite

GREEN BAY PACKERS (7-3) At ATLANTA FALCONS (8-2)
Favorite: Falcons (-2) Over/Under: 47.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Packers are 6-4 ATS
Packers are 3-2 ATS away
Packers are 1-0 ATS as the underdog
Packers are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog
Falcons are 6-4 ATS
Falcons are 3-2 ATS at home
Falcons are 5-3 ATS as the favorite
Falcons are 3-2 as a home favorite

Packers vs Falcons NFL Matchup Preview

4:05 PM GAMES

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-4) At SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (5-5)
Favorite: Chiefs (-1.5) Over/Under: 44.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Chiefs are 6-4 ATS
Chiefs are 2-3 ATS away
Chiefs are 2-3 ATS as the favorite
Chiefs are 0-2 ATS as an away favorite
Seahawks are 5-5 ATS
Seahawks are 3-1 ATS at home
Seahawks are 4-4 ATS as the underdog
Seahawks are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog

MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-5) At OAKLAND RAIDERS (5-5)
Favorite: Raiders (-3) Over/Under: 39.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Dolphins are 6-4 ATS
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS away
Dolphins are 3-1 ATS as the underdog
Dolphins are 2-1 ATS as an away underdog
Raiders are 5-4 ATS
Raiders are 3-2 ATS at home
Raiders are 1-1 ATS as the favorite
Raiders are 1-1 ATS as a home favorite

4:15 PM GAMES

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (7-3) At CHICAGO BEARS (7-3)
Favorite: Eagles (-3.5) Over/Under: 42
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Eagles are 5-5 ATS
Eagles are 3-2 ATS away
Eagles are 4-3 ATS as the favorite
Eagles are 2-1 ATS as an away favorite
Bears are 5-4 ATS
Bears are 2-3 ATS at home
Bears are 4-1 ATS as the underdog
Bears are 1-0 ATS as a home underdog

ST. LOUIS RAMS (4-6) At DENVER BRONCOS (3-7)
Favorite: Broncos (-4) Over/Under: 44.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Rams are 7-3 ATS
Rams are 3-1 ATS away
Rams are 6-3 ATS as the underdog
Rams are 3-1 ATS as an away underdog
Broncos are 3-7 ATS
Broncos are 2-3 ATS at home
Raiders are 1-1 ATS as the favorite
Raiders are 1-1 ATS as a home favorite

TAMPA BAY BUCS (7-3) At BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-3)
Favorite: Ravens (-7.5) Over/Under: 44.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Bucs are 6-3 ATS
Bucs are 5-0 ATS away
Bucs are 5-2 ATS as the underdog
Bucs are 5-0 ATS as an away underdog
Ravens are 5-5 ATS
Ravens are 2-2 ATS at home
Ravens are 3-3 ATS as the favorite
Ravens are 2-2 ATS as a home favorite

8:30 PM GAME

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (5-5) At INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (6-4)
Favorite: Colts (-3) Over/Under:51.5
2010 Regular Season Trends ATS
Chargers are 5-5 ATS
Chargers are 1-4 ATS away
Chargers have not been the underdog
Colts are 6-3 ATS
Colts are 3-1 ATS at home
Colts 4-3 ATS as the favorite
Colts are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite

In the NFL this week, 3 games were played on Thursday, November 25, the results:
New England 45 Detroit 24
New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
New York Jets 26 Cincinnati 10

sources: New York Post, espn.com, foxsports.com, thespread.com

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November 25, 2010

Packers Falcons NFL Pro Football Preview and Prediction

The Green Bay Packers head south to take on the Atlanta Falcons in what some experts consider the best game in the NFL this week.

Atlanta leads the NFC South at 8-2 while the Packers are tied for the lead in the NFC North (with the Chicago Bears).

PACKERS FALCONS: GAME DAY PARTICULARS
Visitors Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Home Atlanta Falcons (8-2)
When Sunday Nov 28 01:00 pm EST
Where Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
TV FOX
Favorite Falcons -2
Under/Over 47.5

PACKERS FALCONS PREVIEW
The Falcons and Packers have a lot in common. They’re both atop their respective divisions, have a 4 game winning streak, feature a strong-armed quarterback and have ferocious defenses hell-bent on causing

The Falcons, at 8-2, have the best record in the NFC and own a 1 game lead over the New Orleans and Tampa Bay in the NFC South. The Packers (7-3) share the lead in the NFC North with the Chicago Bears.

The Falcons, winners of eight of nine, are averaging 31.5 points during a four-game winning streak, keyed by the play of Ryan.

In his last four games, Ryan is averaging 275.8 yards with nine touchdowns and only one interception. 3 of those 4 games he had a Quarterback Rating over 100. The Falcons are 14-0 when Ryan’s passer rating is over 100.

The Packers have been decimated by injuries earlier in the season and their ground game still struggles following the season-ending injury to running back Ryan Grant in Week 1. But QB Aaron Rodgers and the passing attack has lead the way in their 4 game win streak, averaging 28.3 points.

Last week Rodgers threw for a career high 4 TDs in a 31-3 win against The Vikings. Three of those touchdowns went to Greg Jennings, who has 32 receptions for 520 yards and six TDs over his past five games.

The Packers are also winning with a defense that has limited its last three opponents to 10 total points while registering nine takeaways. Green Bay, tied with Chicago for the NFL’s top scoring defense at 14.6 points, is plus-10 in turnover margin during the winning streak.

The Falcons are also doing a good job of winning the turnover battle with a defense that is tied for second in the NFL with 15 interceptions. Atlanta is second in the NFL in turnover margin at plus-10, and is 17-1 when winning the turnover battle in three years under coach Mike Smith.

Remarkably, the Falcons have an even better winning percentage by simply take the field at the Georgia Dome with Ryan in the lineup. Ryan is 18-1 all-time at the Georgia Dome and has won 14 straight starts there since a 24-20 loss to Denver on Nov. 16, 2008.

Running back Michael Turner, who rushed for 131 yards for his fifth 100-yard game of the season last week, has also been at his best in Atlanta. In three years with the Falcons, Turner is averaging 101.3 rushing yards with 22 touchdowns in 18 games at the Georgia Dome.

Turner had 121 yards on 26 carries with a TD in Atlanta’s last game against the Packers, a 27-24 road win on Oct. 5, 2008, and could be poised for another big game. Green Bay has been a bit shaky against the run, allowing an average of 119.4 yards in its last five contests.

Rodgers threw for 313 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in the last meeting, while Ryan passed for 194 yards with two touchdowns and a pick.

PACKERS FALCONS TRENDS AND RANKINGS

PACKERS FALCONS: GAME DAY TRENDS
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS in dome games over the last 2 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
PACKERS are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
Falcons Matt Ryan is 18-1 all-time at the Georgia Dome and has won 14 straight starts there since a 24-20 loss to Denver on Nov. 16, 2008

Packers OFFENSE Ranking Falcons DEFENSE Ranking
Rush Yds/Gms 100.5 19th Rush Yds/Gms 95.4 6th
Pass Yds/Gms 247.1 11th Pass Yds/Gms 242.1 24th
Tot Yds/Gms 347.6 13th Tot Yds/Gms 339.5 17th

Falcons OFFENSE Ranking Packers DEFENSE Ranking
Rush Yds/Gms 129.0 18th Rush Yds/Gms 112.1 18th
Pass Yds/Gms 242.2 13th Pass Yds/Gms 211.3 11th
Tot Yds/Gms 371.4 6th Tot Yds/Gms 323.4 12th

PACKERS FALCONS INJURIES

Green Bay Packers Injury Notables
Player Pos Injury Status
Atari Bigby SS Hamstring Out
Donald Driver WR Quadricep Questionable
Korey Hall FB Back Questionable
Ryan Pickett DE Ankle Questionable

Atlanta Falcons Injury Notables
Player Pos Injury Status
John Abraham DE Groin Questionable
Sean Weatherspoon LB Knee Questionable

* Players listed as Probable not listed

PACKERS FALCONS GAME PREDICTION
Although the Falcons have won 8 out of their last 9 and Matt Ryan is 18-1 all-time at the Georgia Dome and has won 14 straight starts, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers continue to get healthier.

Expect the Ryan string of wins to end.

The Packer defense will come up with some big stops and turnovers.

PACKERS 31 FALCONS 28

Source: foxsports.com, thespread.com, wagertracker.com, cbssports.com

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