October 1, 2011
Week 4 NFL Pick Of The Week – PATRIOTS
Who could have predicted the Buffalo Bills being undefeated (3-0) and the AFC East leader going into week 4 of the 2011 NFL season. Even more surprising, they overcame a 21 point deficit against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in week 3 to remain undefeated.
That was a hard loss for Brady and the Patriots. You can bet the bank that the “Brady bunch” are anxious to redeem the loss this Sunday against the Raiders in Oakland. That’s why the Patriots are our 2011 week 4 NFL pick of the week.
Current betting odds for this 4:15 pm ET matchup have the Patriots 4.5 point favorite. The over/under is 55 points. The game will be aired nationally on CBS.
The Pats (2-1) opened the season with two wins. They beat the Dolphins 38-24 in Miami and the San Diego Chargers 35-21 at home before losing to the Bills in Buffalo, 34-31.
The Raiders are also 2-1. They beat the Broncos in Denver, 23-20, lost to the Bills in Buffalo 38-35, then beat the New York Jets at home, 34-24.
This AFC features the NFL’s top passing offense, led by Tom Brady’s 442.3 yards per game, against the No. 1 rushing attack with Darren McFadden, who leads the league with 131 yards per game.
Against the Bills, Brady completed 30 of 45 passes for 387 yards and four touchdowns. But he also threw four interceptions, matching his total for all last season, with one returned for a touchdown.
He should do better against the Raiders, who have allowed more yards passing than all but four teams.
Here’s why the Patriots are our NFL pick of the week:
- Although Brady threw 4 interceptions against the Bills last week, he threw a total of 4 in all of the 2010 season.
- Tom Brady seldom has two bad weeks in a row. The last time was in 2009 when they lost to the New Orleans Saints (11/30/09) 38-17 and the Miami Dolphins (12/6/09) 22-21.
- The Pats are hungry after last week’s loss.
- The Patriots defense against the run is ranked 10th best (91 yards per game) — and should have success against a run-oriented attack like Oakland’s.
- Patriots are ranked 1st overall in passing yards (437) and the Raiders defense is ranked 28 overall against the pass (289).
- Oakland’s QB Jason Campbell has thrown only 82 passes in the Raiders’ three games.
Prediction: Patriots 31 Raiders 14
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November 26, 2010
Week 12 NFL Sunday Schedule, Odds, Trends ATS For Sunday, Nov 28
Here is the NFL Week 12 Schedule for Sunday, November 28. Handicapping tips for each of he NFL matchups include the favorite, under/over and record against the spread (ATS).
1:00 PM GAMES
| JAGUARS (6-4) At GIANTS (6-4) |
| Favorite: Giants (-9) Over/Under: 44.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Jaguars are 6-4 ATS |
| Jaguars are 2-2 ATS away |
| Jaguars are 3-4 ATS as the underdog |
| Jaguars are 2-2 ATS as an away underdog |
| Giants are 5-5 ATS |
| Giants are 2-3 ATS at home |
| Giants are 3-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Giants are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite |
| VIKINGS (3-7) At REDSKINS (5-5) |
| Favorite: Redskins (-2) Over/Under: 43 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Vikings are 2-8 ATS |
| Vikings are 0-5 ATS away |
| Vikings are 0-6 ATS as the underdog |
| Vikings are 0-5 ATS as an away underdog |
| Redskins are 5-3 ATS |
| Redskins are 2-1 ATS at home |
| Redskins are 0-1 ATS as the favorite |
| Redskins have not been a home favorite |
| PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-3) At BUFFALO BILLS (2-8) |
| Favorite: Steelers (-6.5) Over/Under: 43 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Steelers are 6-4 ATS |
| Steelers are 4-3 ATS away |
| Steelers are 4-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Steelers are 2-1 ATS as an away favorite |
| Bills are 5-4 ATS |
| Bills are 1-3 ATS at home |
| Bills are 4-3 ATS as the underdog |
| Bills are 0-2 as a home underdog |
| TENNESSEE TITANS (5-5) At HOUSTON TEXANS (4-6) |
| Favorite: Texans (-6.5) Over/Under: 46 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Titans are 5-5 ATS |
| Titans are 3-2 ATS away |
| Titans are 2-2 ATS as the underdog |
| Titans are 2-2 ATS as an away underdog |
| Texans are 3-6 ATS |
| Texans are 1-4 ATS at home |
| Texans are 1-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Texans are 0-3 as a home favorite |
| CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-9) At CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-7) |
| Favorite: Browns (-10.5) Over/Under: 37.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Panthers are 2-8 ATS |
| Panthers are 1-3 ATS away |
| Panthers are 2-6 ATS as the underdog |
| Panthers are 1-3 ATS as an away underdog |
| Browns are 4-5 ATS |
| Browns are 2-3 ATS at home |
| Browns are 0-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Browns are 0-1 as a home favorite |
| GREEN BAY PACKERS (7-3) At ATLANTA FALCONS (8-2) |
| Favorite: Falcons (-2) Over/Under: 47.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Packers are 6-4 ATS |
| Packers are 3-2 ATS away |
| Packers are 1-0 ATS as the underdog |
| Packers are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog |
| Falcons are 6-4 ATS |
| Falcons are 3-2 ATS at home |
| Falcons are 5-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Falcons are 3-2 as a home favorite |
Packers vs Falcons NFL Matchup Preview |
4:05 PM GAMES
| KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-4) At SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (5-5) |
| Favorite: Chiefs (-1.5) Over/Under: 44.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Chiefs are 6-4 ATS |
| Chiefs are 2-3 ATS away |
| Chiefs are 2-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Chiefs are 0-2 ATS as an away favorite |
| Seahawks are 5-5 ATS |
| Seahawks are 3-1 ATS at home |
| Seahawks are 4-4 ATS as the underdog |
| Seahawks are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog |
| MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-5) At OAKLAND RAIDERS (5-5) |
| Favorite: Raiders (-3) Over/Under: 39.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Dolphins are 6-4 ATS |
| Dolphins are 4-1 ATS away |
| Dolphins are 3-1 ATS as the underdog |
| Dolphins are 2-1 ATS as an away underdog |
| Raiders are 5-4 ATS |
| Raiders are 3-2 ATS at home |
| Raiders are 1-1 ATS as the favorite |
| Raiders are 1-1 ATS as a home favorite |
4:15 PM GAMES
| PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (7-3) At CHICAGO BEARS (7-3) |
| Favorite: Eagles (-3.5) Over/Under: 42 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Eagles are 5-5 ATS |
| Eagles are 3-2 ATS away |
| Eagles are 4-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Eagles are 2-1 ATS as an away favorite |
| Bears are 5-4 ATS |
| Bears are 2-3 ATS at home |
| Bears are 4-1 ATS as the underdog |
| Bears are 1-0 ATS as a home underdog |
| ST. LOUIS RAMS (4-6) At DENVER BRONCOS (3-7) |
| Favorite: Broncos (-4) Over/Under: 44.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Rams are 7-3 ATS |
| Rams are 3-1 ATS away |
| Rams are 6-3 ATS as the underdog |
| Rams are 3-1 ATS as an away underdog |
| Broncos are 3-7 ATS |
| Broncos are 2-3 ATS at home |
| Raiders are 1-1 ATS as the favorite |
| Raiders are 1-1 ATS as a home favorite |
| TAMPA BAY BUCS (7-3) At BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-3) |
| Favorite: Ravens (-7.5) Over/Under: 44.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Bucs are 6-3 ATS |
| Bucs are 5-0 ATS away |
| Bucs are 5-2 ATS as the underdog |
| Bucs are 5-0 ATS as an away underdog |
| Ravens are 5-5 ATS |
| Ravens are 2-2 ATS at home |
| Ravens are 3-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Ravens are 2-2 ATS as a home favorite |
8:30 PM GAME
| SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (5-5) At INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (6-4) |
| Favorite: Colts (-3) Over/Under:51.5 |
| 2010 Regular Season Trends ATS |
| Chargers are 5-5 ATS |
| Chargers are 1-4 ATS away |
| Chargers have not been the underdog |
| Colts are 6-3 ATS |
| Colts are 3-1 ATS at home |
| Colts 4-3 ATS as the favorite |
| Colts are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite |
In the NFL this week, 3 games were played on Thursday, November 25, the results:
New England 45 Detroit 24
New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
New York Jets 26 Cincinnati 10
sources: New York Post, espn.com, foxsports.com, thespread.com
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October 26, 2009
MNF Week 7: Eagles Will Fly Over The Redskins
THE MATCHUP
Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) at Washington Redskins (2-4)
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:30 PM ET
Fed Ex Field, Landover, MD
THE LINE
Eagles are the favorite, giving 7 1/2. The Under/Over is 37 1/2
THE RECORD
The Eagles are 3-2 Overall, 2-1 at Home and 1-1 Away.
They are 2-1 in the NFC and 0-0 in the NFC East
The Eagles have scored 136 points and given up 99.
The Redskins are 2-4 Overall, 2-1 at Home and 0-3 on the Road.
They are 2-3 in the NFC and 0-1 in the NFC East.
The Chargers have scored 79 points and given up 96.
2009 TRENDS AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)
The Eagles are 3-2 ATS.
The Eagles are 1-1 ATS away.
The Eagles are 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Eagles are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog.
The Redskins are 1-4 ATS.
The Redskins are 0-3 ATS at home.
The Redskins are 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Redskins have not been a home underdog.
PREGAME ANALYSIS
The key to this game is the Philadelphia passing offense. If they bounce back from their poor performance last week against the Raiders, and gain over 250 yards in the air with no interceptions the Eagles are 80% favorites. Statistically speaking, if the Redskins can hold the Eagles to under 220 yards passing, they have a chance of a big upset.
GAME PREDICTION
Philadelphia Eagles 24 Washington Redskins 10
The Giants loss to Arizona should have the Eagles ready to play. An Eagles win puts them a 1/2 game out in the NFC East.
The handing off of play calling duties from coach Jim Zorn to newcomer Sherm Lewis will not be enough for the Redskins to pull out a miracle.
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