December 21, 2008
NFL Playoff Scenarios Week 16
Here is a quick glance at the NFL Playoff picture as of Sunday 12/21 after the 1:00 pm EST games have been played:
AFC
1 Tennessee South 13-2-0
2 Pittsburgh (yz) North 11-4-0
3 Miami East 10-5-0
4 Denver West 8-6-0
5 Indianapolis (x) South 11-4-0
6 Baltimore North 10-5-0
Still alive
7 New England East 10-5-0
8 N.Y. Jets East 9-5-0
11 San Diego West 7-8-0
Eliminated
9 Houston South 7-7-0
10 Buffalo East 6-8-0
12 Jacksonville South 5-10-0
13 Cleveland North 4-11-0
14 Cincinnati North 3-11-1
15 Oakland West 3-11-0
16 Kansas City West 2-13-0
NFC
Seed Team Division Record
1 N.Y. Giants (y) East 11-3-0
2 Carolina (x) South 11-3-0
3 Minnesota North 9-5-0
4 Arizona (y) West 8-7-0
5 Atlanta South 9-5-0
6 Philadelphia East 8-5-1
Still alive
7 Dallas East 9-6-0
8 Tampa Bay South 9-6-0
9 Chicago North 8-6-0
11 Washington East 7-7-0
Eliminated
10 New Orleans South 8-7-0
12 San Francisco West 6-9-0
13 Green Bay North 5-9-0
14 Seattle West 3-11-0
15 St. Louis West 2-13-0
16 Detroit North 0-15-0
legend
x-clinched playoff berth
y-denotes division winner
z-denotes first-round bye
*-clinched home-field advantage
More on the playoff possibilities …
AFC EAST
Miami sits on top and the Patriots and Jets are alive for the Wildcard
AFC SOUTH
Tennessee clinched the division and a first-round bye. It can clinch home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs with a win.
Indianapolis clinched a playoff spot with its win over Jacksonville on Thursday.
AFC NORTH DIVISION
Even with a loss today against Tennessee, the Pittsburgh Steelers have clinched the division and a first-round bye. Baltimore is alive for a wild-card spot.
AFC WEST DIVISION
Denver can clinch the division with 1) a win or tie; 2) a San Diego loss or tie.
NFC EAST DIVISION
The New York Giants clinched the division. They can clinch a first-round bye with: 1) a win or tie; 2) a Minnesota loss or tie. They can clinch home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs with: 1) a win vs. Carolina.
Dallas can clinch a playoff spot next week with: 1) a win or tie against Philadelphia and an Atlanta loss; 2) a win and a loss or tie by Chicago and a Tampa Bay loss; 3) a win and an Atlanta loss, a Chicago loss or tie and a Tampa Bay loss.
NFC SOUTH DIVISION
Carolina has clinched a playoff spot after Dallas’ loss Saturday to Baltimore. It can clinch the division with: 1) a win or tie; 2) losses or ties by both Tampa Bay and Atlanta. It can clinch a first-round bye with: 1) a win or tie; 2) a Tampa Bay loss or tie and an Atlanta- Minnesota tie. It can clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with: 1) a win against the N.Y. Giants.
Tampa Bay can clinch a playoff spot with: 1) a win, an Atlanta loss and a Philadelphia loss or tie; 2) a win, an Atlanta loss and a Dallas loss or tie.
Atlanta can clinch a playoff spot with: 1) a win and losses by Tampa Bay and Philadelphia; 2) a win and losses by Tampa Bay and Dallas.
NFC NORTH DIVISION
Minnesota can clinch the division with: 1) a win; 2) a tie and a Chicago tie; 3) a Chicago loss.
NFC WEST DIVISION
Arizona has clinched the division.
source: ESPN, FOX, nfl.com, cbssports.com
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We’re getting down to end of the season and Sunday’s game between the Steelers and Titans should be one of the best games of the season. This is a highly anticipated game and the weather conditions are looking perfect. Below are the game particulars and our prediction. We are 8-0-1 in our last 9 predictions.
Date: Sunday, Dec 21, 2008
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3) vs Tennessee Titans (12-2)
Location: LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee
THE LINE (subject to change)
The Pittsburgh Steelers are the Underdog (+2). The Under/Over is 34
THE MATCHUP
The Pittsburgh Steelers have already clinched the AFC North Crown. They are 11-3 overall and 6-1 on the road. They have scored 302 points in 14 games while giving up only 192 - that leads all of the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans also have clinched their division - the AFC South. The are 12-2 overall and 6-1 at home. They have scored 344 points while giving up only 197 in the 14 regular season games this year
AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)
The Steelers are 8-6 ATS overall, 5-2 ATS away, 5-1 ATS as the underdog and 5-1 ATS as an away underdog
The Titans are 11-2 ATS overall, 5-1 ATS at home,8-2 ATS as the favorite and 4-1 ATS as a home favorite
PREVIEW
Kerry Collins is just a mediocre QB with a rating in the mid-60s. He doesn’t throw many interceptions but he doesn’t throw many TDS either. The Titans will have a key part of their defense out on Sunday. Their Pro Bowl bound Defensive End Albert Haynesworth is out. The Steelers are averaging over 100 yards on the ground and that number should increase with Haynesworth out.
PREDICTION (ATS)
Pittsburgh Steelers 17 Tennessee Titans 14.
Although the Titans are playing at home and are 8-1 ATS as a favorite, the Pittsburgh Steelers defense will be the difference in the game. The Steelers also have the edge at the QB position - Ben Roethlisberger over Kerry Collins.
Another key factor is the Titans Pro Bowl bound defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth is out. This will give the Steelers running attack the ability to grind the ball on the ground. It will result in the Titans over committing to the run. Roethlisberger will take advantage and sneak in some deep passes.
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