January 13, 2010
NFC Divisional Playoffs Preview Cowboys-Vikings
The Dallas Cowboys head to the Minnesota Metrodome to take on the Vikings in the 2010 NFC Divisional Playoffs this Sunday. Both teams have been absent from the NFC Divisional playoffs for some time, the Cowboys last made an appearance in 1996 and the Viking in 2001.
This will be the second NFC playoff game for Cowboys this year and the first for the Vikings, who enjoyed a bye week in week 17. The ways that the Cowboys offense and defense are plying, this can certainly be their next stop on the road to a truly attainable goal - becoming the Super Bowl Champions.
But before we get ahead of ourselves, the Cowboys must beat the Vikings. Here is our NFC Divisional Playoff preview between the Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings. It spells out the reasons why the Cowboys will defeat the Vikings in the 2010 NFC Divisional Playoffs.
And that word is DEFENSE.
The Dallas Cowboy’s had the 9th best defense in the NFL. They were ranked 4th against the rush and 20th against the pass. However, in last week’s Wild Card win, the Cowboys defense held the Eagles to 56 yards rushing while forcing 3 interceptions and a fumble. Over their last three games, the Cowboys are playing the best defense of the teams still alive.
The Cowboys offense is just as impressive. They had the 2nd ranked offense in the NFL during the regular season. They were ranked 6th in passing and 7th in rushing. Last week against the Eagles (12th overall total defense) the Cowboys gained 198 yards rushing and 228 yards passing. Tony Romo threw for 2 TDs and 0 interceptions.
Another important fact is the Cowboys beat the Philadelphia Eagles 3 times this season by a combined score of 78 - 33, a team that many predicted to win the Super Bowl.
Now let’s take a look at the Vikings. They had the 5th best offense overall in the regular season (13th rushing and 8th in passing). They have three players in the top 5 of the following offensive categories:
QB Brett Favre is 2nd in the NFL for QB rating at 107.2; RB Adrian Peterson is 5th in rushing yards with 1383, and WR Sidney Rice is 4th in Receiving Yards with 1312.
The Vikings are ranked 6th overall in total defense, 2nd against the rush and 19th against the pass. The Vikings defensive is led by Defensive End Jared Allen who is 2nd in the NFL in Sacks with 14.5. The Vikings had perhaps the most intimidating defense until they lost linebacker EJ Henderson for the season (broken league).
The Vikings certainly have some impressive statistics and league leading individual players. But there are some glaring concerns.
- The Vikings lost 3 of their last 5 games (@ Arizona, @ Carolina and @ Chicago.) in the regular season.
- In the last three games before the Vikings beat the “no-show” Giants in the final week of the season, Favre threw for 4 TDs and 3 interceptions. Some experts have surmised that Brett was going away from coach Ray Childress’s game plan. Many suspect that is what caused the on-field argument between the two late in season.
- Adrian Peterson has been amazingly mediocre over the second half of the season. He hasn’t rushed for 100 yards in a game since week 9.
- The injury to EJ Henderson was devastating to the Vikings defense. Since his absence, opposing offenses have been able to double team DE Jared Allen and run the right side.
The Vikings do have two things going for them. First, they have the advantage of resting during the bye week off and secondly, they are playing at home in the dome. Unfortunately, it won’t be enough for the Vikings to win this NFC Divisional Playoff game.
Winning in the playoffs is all about momentum and the quality of play at the current moment. You could almost throw out the regular season statistics when predicting the winner. The 2007 NY Giants are a prime example. They were mediocre in the regular season but excelled in the playoffs to become Super Bowl champions. And you can draw a parallel to one of these teams.
The Dallas Cowboys are that team!
Thenflthisweek.com Prediction
Cowboys 27 Vikings 21
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January 10, 2010
NFC Wildcard Sunday - Close Call - Cardinals
The NFC wildcard Sunday game will be played in the desert between the NFC West champion Arizona Cardinals and NFC wild card Green Bay Packers. The winner of this game gets to play next week in round two of the NFC playoffs. Based on our analysis, the Arizona Cardinals will win the game that will be decided by a field goal in the final two minutes. Lets size up the two teams. The betting line on the game is a Pickem. Over/under is 47 points.
The Green Bay Packers are lead by QB Aaron Rodgers. He has proven that he is a top-tier quarterback. He also has a deep, talented group of receivers. Expect the Pack to throw the football, especially in the area covered by Arizona CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, who is nursing a knee injury.
The Cardinals counter with a great passing attack of their own. QB Kurt Warner to WR Larry Fitzgerald made sweet music together in 2008 but not as sweet in 2009. WR Anquan Boldin will be at less than 100% with ankle and knee injuries.
The running attack of the both the Packers and Cardinals are average at best but the Packers get the slight edge, especially if Rodgers is successful through the air - it will make their running game that much more effective.
This matchup is the hardest of the 4 NFL wildcard games to predict. But based on the experience of Cardinals QB Kurt Warner, them playing at home and their post-season experience in 2008 (making it all the way to the Superbowl) - we give the edge to the Cardinals.
Thenflthisweek.com prediction:
Cardinals 25 Packers 21
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December 26, 2009
The NFC Playoff Picture Week 15
Going into week 15 of the 2009 NFL season, the NFC playoff picture is pretty clear. Four teams have already clinched a spot in the NFC playoffs; they are the Saints (13-1), Vikings (11-3), Cardinals (9-5) and Eagles (10-4). Three other teams are in the hunt for the final two NFC playoff spots, they include the Cowboys (9-5), Packers (9-5) and the Giants (8-6).
Here is the NFC playoff picture going into week 15 of the NFL season:
New Orleans Saints (13-1)
- Clinched the the NFC South and a first-round bye
- Clinches homefield advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with:
- A win or tie OR
Minnesota loss or tie
Minnesota Vikings (11-3)
- Clinched NFC North
- Clinches first-round bye with:
- A win and Philadelphia loss or tie OR
A tie and Philadelphia loss
Arizona (9-5)
- Clinched NFC West
Philadelphia (10-4)
- Clinched a playoff spot
- Clinches NFC East with:
- A win and Dallas loss or tie OR
A tie and Dallas loss
Green Bay Packers (9-5)
- Clinches a playoff spot with:
- A win and Giants loss or tie OR
A win and Dallas loss OR
A tie and Giants loss
Dallas Cowboys (9-5)
- Clinches a playoff spot with:
- win and Giants loss or tie OR
tie and Giants loss
The New York Giants are still in the NFC playoff picture but it will take a loss by both the Packers AND Cowboys over the next three weeks in order for them to have a chance.
sources: NY Daily News, nfl.com, espn.com
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