Matchup

October 26, 2009

MNF Week 7: Eagles Will Fly Over The Redskins

THE MATCHUP
Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) at Washington Redskins (2-4)
Monday, October 26, 2009 @ 8:30 PM ET
Fed Ex Field, Landover, MD

THE LINE
Eagles are the favorite, giving 7 1/2. The Under/Over is 37 1/2

THE RECORD
The Eagles are 3-2 Overall, 2-1 at Home and 1-1 Away.
They are 2-1 in the NFC and 0-0 in the NFC East
The Eagles have scored 136 points and given up 99.

The Redskins are 2-4 Overall, 2-1 at Home and 0-3 on the Road.
They are 2-3 in the NFC and 0-1 in the NFC East.
The Chargers have scored 79 points and given up 96.

2009 TRENDS AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)
The Eagles are 3-2 ATS.
The Eagles are 1-1 ATS away.
The Eagles are 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Eagles are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog.
The Redskins are 1-4 ATS.
The Redskins are 0-3 ATS at home.
The Redskins are 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Redskins have not been a home underdog.
PREGAME ANALYSIS
The key to this game is the Philadelphia passing offense. If they bounce back from their poor performance last week against the Raiders, and gain over 250 yards in the air with no interceptions the Eagles are 80% favorites. Statistically speaking, if the Redskins can hold the Eagles to under 220 yards passing, they have a chance of a big upset.

GAME PREDICTION
Philadelphia Eagles 24 Washington Redskins 10

The Giants loss to Arizona should have the Eagles ready to play. An Eagles win puts them a 1/2 game out in the NFC East.
The handing off of play calling duties from coach Jim Zorn to newcomer Sherm Lewis will not be enough for the Redskins to pull out a miracle.

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October 19, 2009

NFL Week 6 Monday Night Football Preview

THE MATCHUP
Denver BroncosĀ at San Diego Chargers
Oct 19, 2009 @ 8:30 PM
Qualcomm Stadium

THE LINE
Chargers are the favorite, giving 3. The Under/Over is 44

THE RECORD
The Denver Broncos are 5-0 Overall, 3-0 at Home and 2-0 Away. They are 1-0 in the Division and 4-0 in their Conference.
The Broncos have scored 99 points and given up only 43.

The San Diego Chargers are 2-2 Overall, 1-1 at Home and 1-1 on the Road.
They are 1-0 in their Division and 2-2 in their Conference.
The Chargers have scored 101 points and given up 102.

2009 TRENDS AGAINST THE SPREAD
The Broncos are 5-0 ATS.
The Broncos are 2-0 ATS away.
The Broncos are 4-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Broncos are 2-0 ATS as an away underdog.
The Chargers are 1-3 ATS.
The Chargers are 1-1 ATS at home.
The Chargers are 0-1 ATS as the underdog.
The Chargers have not been a home underdog.

PREGAME ANALYSIS
One of the keys to this MNF contest is the Denver Bronco defense. In their first five games, they have given up only 43 points while allowing only 3.3 yards per carry. If they can keep the Chargers to just under 4 ypc, they can still win, even if Phillip Rivers has a big game.

Another factor that could determine the outcome is that the Broncos are averaging 139 yard rushing and the Chargers are defense are giving up 151 yards per game – and wiith their star defensive tackle Jamal Williams (IR), the Chargers defense may be in for a long day.

GAME PREDICTION
Denver Broncos 24 San Diego Chargers 21

Denver’s new head coach, Josh McDaniel has fired up the Broncos and they have bought into his system. The Broncos defense will stop the Chargers ground game and give their offense multiple opportunities to score. In addition, the Chargers defense will overpursue on the run, opening up the passing game for Kyle Orton.

source: espn, foxsports

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January 1, 2009

NFL Wildcard Weekend Indianapolis at San Diego

GAME INFO:
Indianapolis Colts vs. San Diego Chargers

Game Date/Time: Sat, Jan 3, 2009 8:00 pm EST

Location: Qualcomm Stadium, California
TV: NBC

THE TEAMS AGAINST THE SPREAD (ATS)
The Colts are 9-7 ATS overall, 4-4 ATS away, 1-1 ATS as the underdog and 0-0 as an away underdog in 2008

The Chargers are 11-5 ATS overall, 7-1 ATS at home, 8-3 ATS as the favorite and 6-1 as home favorite this season

THE LINE
The Colts are favorite by 1 point (but that spread can be different based on individual casino and betting parlor lines)
The Over/Under is 51 points

THE PREVIEW
The Colts are 9-1 in there in last 10 games and Peyton Manning is considered by many experts to be in the front running for MVP. The Chargers are a mere 5-5 over their last 10 games but beat up the Denver Broncos last week by a score of 52-21 tp knock the Broncos out of the playoffs that ended Mike Shanahan’s coaching career in Denver.
In a matchup earlier in week 12, the Colts beat the Chargers in San Diego by a score of 23-20

THE PREDICTION
Indianapolis Colts 35 San Diego Chargers 28
Indianapolis is a very dangerous team. Peyton Manning is completely healthy and they have won their last 9 in a row. One big statistic is the fact that over the last three years the Colts are 4-1 this season and 10-3 in the last three seasons when the spread is +3 to -3. The Chargers are 1-3 this year when the spread is +3 to -3.
Peyton Manning will have time to throw the ball against a sackless defense. And even Phillip Rivers won’t be able to match the points put up by the Colts.

Take Peyton Manning and the Colts in a high scoring affair.

NOTE: thenflthisweek.com has a record of 9-1-1 in their last ATS picks of the regular season.

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